I was in fourth grade
in the fall of 1962
and I was in a good place: I liked my new school, P.S. 196, and I really liked my teacher, Mrs. Rose Drayson, who—in my
nine-year-old opinion—was the ideal pedagogue: friendly, apparently all-knowing, encouraging, patient, and kind. I can’t quite recall
what precisely we were learning or studying in the fall of that year, but the
part I do remember totally clearly has to do with the Cuban Missile Crisis,
which unfolded in October of that year just as we were settling into a
classroom routine and I was getting used to my new class in my new school. (I attended P.S. 3 from kindergarten through third grade,
then was obliged to move on and attend P.S. 196, which was much further from my
parents’ apartment house, but which I was still allowed to walk all the way to and all
the way back from on my own without parental
supervision. It truly was a different world!)
And so there we were
in Mrs. Drayson’s class, practicing daily the routine she taught us so that we
would be safe in case of nuclear attack by the Soviet Union. We all took it
very seriously, but the procedure itself was not that complicated and mostly
involved pulling our chairs out from under our desks and crawling under the
desks ourselves with our hands clasped over the tops of our heads to wait for
the all-clear to come,
presumably either after the bomb had been
dropped and it was again safe to move around or after the whole thing turned out to be a false
alarm. The thought of New York being leveled, its
residents either pulverized or contaminated with radiation, and its buildings demolished
in the way Hiroshima and Nagasaki were devastated just seventeen years earlier was
not part of our thinking at all: instead, the idea—as best I can recall—was that
the Russian bomb we so feared, if it somehow managed to hit P.S. 196, would possibly make the roof of our school building
collapse and so, to save ourselves from being hit by falling roof-debris, we
were to remain safely ensconced in the space beneath our desks until we got the
all-clear and could safely return to our studies.
When I think back now on those strange
days all those many years ago, however,
it seems to me that our nation’s bizarrely casual response to the possibility of Russia using nuclear weaponry to
advance its own aggressive agenda against the West had to do less with our native optimism and
more with our fundamental assumption that, no matter how hostile the rhetoric,
no nation—not even the evil Soviet Union—would really use nuclear weapons to
advance its agenda. Our nation, of course, did do precisely that
once…but that was before we truly understood the
possibilities inherent in an all-out nuclear war between the world’s two
superpowers. And also, of course, because President Truman was certain that Japan didn’t possess nuclear weapons that they could use in
response to our attack on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. So the chances of an all-out
nuclear war with Japan were precisely zero. Was the same true with respect to
the Soviet Union? We told ourselves that it was, that even the Russians would
never really risk the kind of mutually-assured devastation a nuclear war would
inevitably bring in its radioactive wake. And so, finding comfort in the
fantasy that the fear of nuclear attack was theoretically real but only barely
so…we had our children hide under their desks and hoped for the best.
And now, all these
many years later, we are back to square one, back to wondering if Vladimir
Putin could possibly be crazy enough to use nuclear weaponry decisively to
defeat Ukraine. Or cagey enough, since it almost goes without saying
that—despite the deliberate
vagueness our American leaders and their
European counterparts have
enshrouded their responses to Putin’s assertion
the other day when he ordered the immediate mobilization of 300,000 fresh
recruits that a full collapse of the Soviet front in Ukraine would not be
permitted to occur even if that required the use of nuclear arms—it more or
less goes without saying that the West would not respond by attacking Russia
full-on with nuclear weaponry even if the Russians did use a nuclear device of
some sort to attempt a last-ditch attempt to win in Ukraine.
But the results
would be truly devastating
for the world as we have come to know it. First
and foremost for Ukraine, obviously. But also for Russia itself
as the world mobilizes in a way not really
seen since the Second World War. And
for the nations of Europe as well as nuclear dust spreads over Europe, thus making the chances of the rest
of the world consciously
choosing to look away plummet to
almost zero. And the Russian people themselves too, who have a long history of rising up successfully
against tyranny, would surely also be heard from. Putin himself would be finished. A new Russia would
emerge. But Ukraine would be still
be devastated, as would large portions of Russia. There would be no winners at all, only losers.
Most of the
scenarios I’ve read just lately—particularly in The Atlantic and in the Washington
Post—have suggested that the use of some small nuclear devices against Ukraine
would instantly trigger a
concerted effort by Western nations to arm Ukraine with the
most sophisticated non-nuclear weapons that exist, thus turning
the tide of the war by pushing the Russians
back across the border and then daring them to use “real” nuclear devices to
seize back the territory they would have lost. Most of our officials are still
supposing that Putin’s fiery threats are meant merely to terrify but not truly
to signal his intent to use nuclear weaponry to win this war he himself
started. I’d like to think that too. But I’ve learned over the years to take at
face value even the most exaggerated threats when made by people whose basic commitment
to decency and peaceful coexistence cannot be presumed. That was true of Hitler
long before the Second World War and it was also true of Bin Laden before 9/11.
That is why I take the regular threats by the Iranian leadership to attack
Israel seriously…and why everybody should. And it is also why I take Vladimir
Putin’s threats fully seriously…and why everybody also should.
As we approach Yom
Kippur, Jews all over the world will be gearing up to spend a day in prayer and
repentance. To be true to one’s own ideals and not to work at cross-purposes
with one’s own better angels—these are the twin goals of the day’s work for
those brave enough to adopt them for their own. This year, part of that work of
self-analysis should include the painful question of whether we have underestimated the importance of Vladimir
Putin’s threat to use nuclear weapons to defeat Ukraine and have therefore
failed adequately to respond to it. Now I am a grown man but I was once
a little boy hiding under a wooden desk in Mrs. Drayson’s classroom, so I feel qualified to answer
that question clearly
on behalf of both of us, boy-me and grown-up-me: we have, but we shouldn’t. To be amazed when irrational people do
irrational things is, to say the least, irrational.