As readers all must know, there
is at least some possibility that World War III will begin within the
next few days or weeks if Russia invades Ukraine and NATO, including our own
nation, rushes to its defense. As I write these words, that possibility still
seems unlikely. But, of course, who wouldn’t have thought it unlikely a century
and a decade ago that the assassination of a single Austrian man in 1914 would
lead to a world-wide conflagration that would last for years and eventually
cost the lives of well over 17 million people? What really will happen
if Russian troops cross the border into Ukraine, I have no idea. I don’t think
anyone really does, including not the Russians themselves. But what I want to
write about today is not specifically about the various scenarios that could
plausibly ensue if Russia attempts to annex, or even just temporarily to
occupy, Ukraine. Instead, I’d like to talk about the shocking—to me, at
least—lack of perspective even people writing in our most respected newspapers
and websites seem content to allow to form the basis of their analysis of the
situation.
To read most of the article and
essays that I’ve come across about the Ukraine crisis, you would think that
Russia and Ukraine are “just” two contiguous countries that happen to share a common
border, like Bolivia and Peru or Italy and Switzerland. Starting from that
vantage point, it is simple for authors to find the idea of Russia launching a
full-scale invasion of its neighbor to the south inexplicable. But the reality
is far more complicated than anyone seems to know. For one thing, the backstory
goes back centuries. In other words, what we are watching on CNN these evenings
is the thousandth page in a novel still being written. And just as one could
hardly just jump into an unfinished novel on page 1000 and get the gist of
what’s going on with any sort of accuracy, so is it not really possible to
understand what’s going on between Russia and Ukraine without getting a running
leap into the story by stepping back in history and attempting to understand
today’s details in terms of the larger picture to which they belong. Of course,
most American know more or less nothing about Russian, let alone Ukrainian,
history. Maybe about the Russian Revolution a little. But the history of
pre-Communist Russia is a mystery to most. And the even-more-obscure history of
Ukraine is well known, as far as I can see, almost to none.
I begin more than a thousand
years ago in the tenth century. Kievan Rus, compromising all of western Russia,
Ukraine, Belarus, and eastern Poland, is the largest nation in Europe. Its
capital is in Kyiv, formerly known to most of us as Kiev, the capital of
today’s Ukraine. The principal players—who set the table at which both Russians
and Ukrainians still dine—are famous abroad but unknown here. Vladimir the
Great, for example, reigned from 980 to 1015 and brought Christianity to his
nation. His son, Yaroslav the Wise, ruled over the kingdom at the greatest
limits of its power and size. But it wasn’t to last: the ethnic groups within
the nation were too eager to assert their own autonomy and the unified nation
had already begin seriously to disintegrate when the Mongol hordes arrived from
the east and completely devastated the nation, burning Kyiv to the ground in
1240 and massacring its citizens.
There followed all sorts of
attempts to recreate the original nation. There was no nation called Russia and
none called Ukraine, but there were successor states to Kievan Rus that too
appear to be unfamiliar to almost all today, including the columnists I read
the most regularly.
Where Russia is today, there
emerged something called the Grand Duchy of Moscow, which did not manage to
achieve real independence until King Ivan III (called “the Great”) finally
threw off all foreign domination and united most of today’s Russia under his
rule. But it was his son, Ivan IV (called “the Terrible”) who first proclaimed
himself czar in 1547 as a way of asserting his legitimate right to rule over
his world as the emperor of Rome once did over his. (The Russian word tsar, written
in English either as tsar or czar, is the equivalent of the Latin caesar, just
as is the German equivalent, Kaiser.)
Where Ukraine is today arose a
nation called Galicia-Volhynia. The rest of what had been Kievan Rus was united
by a man called Danylo Romanovych into a country called Ruthenia with its
capital at Kyiv, in its day the most powerful state in Eastern Europe. But this
situation too didn’t last. King Casimir III of Poland invaded Galicia-Volhynia in
the mid-fourteenth century and annexed those land to his own. In the meantime,
the Lithuanians invaded Ruthenia and annexed it to its own nation. From that
point on, the story becomes so complicated that it’s almost impossible to
follow at all, let alone easily. In 1386, Poland and Lithuania joined together
in something later called the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth and ruled over
most of today’s Russia and Ukraine. In the meantime, the Cossacks began to form
armed militias with the specific intention of wrestling control of the
territory from foreign domination. But this was also the period when the
Tartars began to invade from the east, taking huge numbers of Ukrainian and
Russian peasants into the slave trade, eventually selling and deporting as many
as two million peasants as slaves. Finally, in 1648, Bogdan Chmyelnitski and
Petro Doroshenko led a massive revolt that resulted in the establishment, for
the first time, of some version of Ukrainian autonomy. (It was also a terrible
time for the Jews—who recall the years 1648 and 1649 as a time of mass
slaughter of innocents on a scale that would only be matched three hundred
years later during the Shoah.) But then, in 1654, Chmyelnitski offered to put
his entire country under the control of Czar Alexis, who accepted only too
gratefully. This led to another Russo-Polish War (there had already been several),
as a result of which today’s Ukraine was split into two parts, leaving only the
eastern part of the country under Russian rule.
From that point on, the story
becomes even more complicated. Cossacks, Mongols, Swedes, Poles, Lithuanians,
Russians, Genoans, Austrians and any number of others vied with each other to
control some or another part of Ukraine. (There was no actual country called
Ukraine, of course.) A period of history in the mid-seventeenth century called
“The Ruin” featured a war between Russia, Poland, the Crimean Khanate (don’t
ask where this came from), Cossacks, and the Ottoman Empire that brought death
to hundreds of thousands and was only concluded with the signing of the Treaty
of Perpetual Peace (hah!) in 1686 that basically divided up today’s Ukraine
between Poland and Russia. And mixed in with all of this are the three separate
so-called Partitions of Poland that took place in 1772, 1793, and 1795, decisions
forced on the Poles that brought half of today’s Ukraine under Austrian rule
and the other half under the rule of Russia. Eventually, this led to Ukrainians
entering the First World War on both sides: about 3.5 million Ukrainians
fighting with the Russians and about a quarter-million fighting with the
Austrians.
The Russian Revolution of 1917 freed
the area from all foreign domination except by Russia. And then, and for the
first time, a series of Ukrainian entities began to exist: the Ukrainian
People’s Republic in 1917, the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic, the West
Ukrainian People’s Republic, and several others. The Polish-Ukraine War of 1918
and 1919, ended with the so-called Peace of Riga according to which western
Ukraine became part of Poland and the rest joined the USSR as the Ukrainian
Soviet Socialist Republic, a theoretically independent nation that was actually
a puppet-state totally and absolutely under the thumb of their Russia overlords.
When the Soviet Union finally collapsed in the early 1990s, Ukraine finally—and
one could even say for the first time—became an independent state in the way
the term is normally used by most people today.
None of any of this appears to be
known to the people whose political essays I read in the newspapers I read and
online news sources I frequent, all of which seem to consider that Ukraine and
Russia are “merely” neighboring states with no back history at all. You can
trust me that I’ve only skimmed the surface here—the actual story is a thousand
times more complicated and difficult to follow. (No wonder they don’t teach any
of this in high school!) But the result is a nation of pundits, op-ed piece
writers, and columnists attempting to analyze the events of the day almost in a
vacuum.
The relationship between Russia
and Ukraine is almost un-unravelable. No nation has ever been dissected so many
times and by so many different peoples than Ukraine…or that would be the case
had Ukraine ever actually existed. The Ukrainians clearly have the same right
to self-determination that any nation has…but even that is a complicated
thought since the world completely arbitrarily awards that right to some but
not to others. (Oh yeah? Just ask a Chechen, a Basque, a Navaho, an Inuit, a
Uighur, a Rohingya, a Lapp, or an Ainu what they think. Or, if it were only
possible, ask any of the Jews interned by the Brits for the crime of wishing to
live freely and autonomously in their own homeland before 1948.) The Russians’
interest here seems to be purely imperialistic: they wish to dominate a
neighboring state because they deem that to serve their own best interests. But
to leave it at that without considering carefully the thousand years of history
that go into the reality we see on today’s map—that also seems a bit naïve.
To understand Putin’s thinking about Ukraine, you need to know the backstory. You can actually read an essay on the topic by Putin himself entitled “On the Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians,” that is posted on the website of the President of Russia. (Click here to take a look.) It is unconvincing, its logic self-serving and rooted in the past rather than the present. Or at least that’s how it reads to me. But Putin’s essay—which is certainly worth reading—is deeply rooted in the history outlined above, which is why I’ve chosen this week to write at least cursorily about the details hiding behind the story unfolding on our screens now daily.